US Presidential election: what happened?
This is a long piece, c.6,000 words, so I have split it into 12 sections. If there is a section you are particularly interested in in you can look for it below. They are: Headline results Was polling accurate? The influence of new media Ground game Swing states and new swing states? National swings Demographic shifts Issues? Republicans next moves Democrats next moves The state of elections Data Tables I don’t usually write about American politics, it can be complicated and I am far removed from the major issues, but the Trump era of American politics has been fascinating. Trump has consistently outperformed polling and even when he lost the popular vote by a large margin in 2020, he only narrowly missed the out on retaining his Presidency due to the nature of the Electoral College. I remember being fascinated by the seemingly strange results back in 2016 and it caused me to research the electoral college. This time, there seems to have been just as much surprise at Trump...